End times: elites, counter-elites, and the path of political disintegration
(Book)
"Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his models to predict that America was in a spiral of social disintegration that would lead to a breakdown in the political order circa 2020. The years since have proved his prediction more and more accurate, and End Times reveals why. In America, the wealth pump has been operating full blast for two generations. As cliodynamics shows us, our current cycle of elite overproduction and popular immiseration is far along the path to violent political rupture. That is only one possible end time, and the choice is up to us, but the hour grows late"--Book jacket.
Notes
Turchin, P. (2023). End times: elites, counter-elites, and the path of political disintegration. New York, Penguin Press.
Chicago / Turabian - Author Date Citation (style guide)Turchin, Peter, 1957-. 2023. End Times: Elites, Counter-elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration. New York, Penguin Press.
Chicago / Turabian - Humanities Citation (style guide)Turchin, Peter, 1957-, End Times: Elites, Counter-elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration. New York, Penguin Press, 2023.
MLA Citation (style guide)Turchin, Peter. End Times: Elites, Counter-elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration. New York, Penguin Press, 2023.
Record Information
Last Sierra Extract Time | Apr 23, 2024 03:47:43 PM |
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Last File Modification Time | Apr 23, 2024 03:47:54 PM |
Last Grouped Work Modification Time | Apr 28, 2024 05:15:38 AM |
MARC Record
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100 | 1 | |a Turchin, Peter,|d 1957-|e author. | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a End times :|b elites, counter-elites, and the path of political disintegration /|c Peter Turchin. |
264 | 1 | |a New York :|b Penguin Press,|c 2023. | |
264 | 4 | |c ©2023 | |
300 | |a xv, 352 pages ;|c 25 cm | ||
336 | |a text|b txt|2 rdacontent | ||
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338 | |a volume|b nc|2 rdacarrier | ||
340 | |n regular print | ||
504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (pages 303-337) and index. | ||
505 | 2 | |a Part I. The cliodynamics of power. Elites, elite overproduction, and the road to crisis -- Stepping back : lessions of history -- Part II. The drivers of instability. "The peasants are revolting" -- The revolutionary troops -- The ruling class -- Why is America a plutocracy? -- Part III. Crisis and aftermath. State breakdown -- Histories of the near future -- The wealth pump and the future of democracy -- Appendix. A new science of history -- A historical macroscope -- The structural dynamic approach. | |
520 | |a "Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his models to predict that America was in a spiral of social disintegration that would lead to a breakdown in the political order circa 2020. The years since have proved his prediction more and more accurate, and End Times reveals why. In America, the wealth pump has been operating full blast for two generations. As cliodynamics shows us, our current cycle of elite overproduction and popular immiseration is far along the path to violent political rupture. That is only one possible end time, and the choice is up to us, but the hour grows late"--Book jacket. | ||
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