End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration
(Adobe EPUB eBook, Kindle Book, OverDrive Read)
Author:
Published:
Penguin Publishing Group 2023
Format:
Adobe EPUB eBook, Kindle Book, OverDrive Read
Status:
Checked Out
Description
“Peter Turchin brings science to history. Some like it and some prefer their history plain. But everyone needs to pay attention to the well-informed, convincing and terrifying analysis in this book.” —Angus Deaton, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics
From the pioneering co-founder of cliodynamics, the groundbreaking new interdisciplinary science of history, a big-picture explanation for America's civil strife and its possible endgames
Peter Turchin, one of the most interesting social scientists of our age, has infused the study of history with approaches and insights from other fields for more than a quarter century. End Times is the culmination of his work to understand what causes political communities to cohere and what causes them to fall apart, as applied to the current turmoil within the United States.
Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his models to predict that America was in a spiral of social disintegration that would lead to a breakdown in the political order circa 2020. The years since have proved his prediction more and more accurate, and End Times reveals why.
The lessons of world history are clear, Turchin argues: When the equilibrium between ruling elites and the majority tips too far in favor of elites, political instability is all but inevitable. As income inequality surges and prosperity flows disproportionately into the hands of the elites, the common people suffer, and society-wide efforts to become an elite grow ever more frenzied. He calls this process the wealth pump; it’s a world of the damned and the saved. And since the number of such positions remains relatively fixed, the overproduction of elites inevitably leads to frustrated elite aspirants, who harness popular resentment to turn against the established order. Turchin’s models show that when this state has been reached, societies become locked in a death spiral it's very hard to exit.
In America, the wealth pump has been operating full blast for two generations. As cliodynamics shows us, our current cycle of elite overproduction and popular immiseration is far along the path to violent political rupture. That is only one possible end time, and the choice is up to us, but the hour grows late.
From the pioneering co-founder of cliodynamics, the groundbreaking new interdisciplinary science of history, a big-picture explanation for America's civil strife and its possible endgames
Peter Turchin, one of the most interesting social scientists of our age, has infused the study of history with approaches and insights from other fields for more than a quarter century. End Times is the culmination of his work to understand what causes political communities to cohere and what causes them to fall apart, as applied to the current turmoil within the United States.
Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his models to predict that America was in a spiral of social disintegration that would lead to a breakdown in the political order circa 2020. The years since have proved his prediction more and more accurate, and End Times reveals why.
The lessons of world history are clear, Turchin argues: When the equilibrium between ruling elites and the majority tips too far in favor of elites, political instability is all but inevitable. As income inequality surges and prosperity flows disproportionately into the hands of the elites, the common people suffer, and society-wide efforts to become an elite grow ever more frenzied. He calls this process the wealth pump; it’s a world of the damned and the saved. And since the number of such positions remains relatively fixed, the overproduction of elites inevitably leads to frustrated elite aspirants, who harness popular resentment to turn against the established order. Turchin’s models show that when this state has been reached, societies become locked in a death spiral it's very hard to exit.
In America, the wealth pump has been operating full blast for two generations. As cliodynamics shows us, our current cycle of elite overproduction and popular immiseration is far along the path to violent political rupture. That is only one possible end time, and the choice is up to us, but the hour grows late.
Formats
Adobe EPUB eBook
Works on all eReaders (except Kindles), desktop computers and mobile devices with reading apps installed.
Kindle Book
Works on Kindles and devices with a Kindle app installed.
OverDrive Read
Need Help?
If you are having problem transferring a title to your device, please fill out this support form or visit the library so we can help you to use our eBooks and eAudio Books.
If you are having problem transferring a title to your device, please fill out this support form or visit the library so we can help you to use our eBooks and eAudio Books.
More Copies In Prospector
Loading Prospector Copies...
More Details
Street Date:
06/13/2023
Language:
English
ISBN:
9780593490518
ASIN:
B0BF8PBQK9
Reviews from GoodReads
Loading GoodReads Reviews.
Citations
APA Citation (style guide)
Peter Turchin. (2023). End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration. Penguin Publishing Group.
Chicago / Turabian - Author Date Citation (style guide)Peter Turchin. 2023. End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration. Penguin Publishing Group.
Chicago / Turabian - Humanities Citation (style guide)Peter Turchin, End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration. Penguin Publishing Group, 2023.
MLA Citation (style guide)Peter Turchin. End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration. Penguin Publishing Group, 2023.
Note! Citation formats are based on standards as of July 2022. Citations contain only title, author, edition, publisher, and year published. Citations should be used as a guideline and should be double checked for accuracy.
Copy Details
| Library | Owned | Available |
|---|---|---|
| Shared Digital Collection | 1 | 0 |
| Loveland Public Library | 0 | 0 |
There is 1 hold on this title.
Staff View
Grouped Work ID:
54999d2d-2d7c-8aba-da27-713993a62ae6
Needs Update?:
No
Date Added:
Dec 08, 2023 18:46:56
Date Updated:
Dec 08, 2023 18:46:56
Last Metadata Check:
Apr 28, 2024 05:19:54
Last Metadata Change:
Mar 17, 2024 05:26:21
Last Availability Check:
Apr 28, 2024 05:19:56
Last Availability Change:
Apr 28, 2024 05:19:56
Last Grouped Work Modification Time:
Apr 28, 2024 05:15:38
OverDrive Product Record
- images
- cover:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-100/1523-1/{ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67}IMG100.JPG
- type: image/jpeg
- thumbnail:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-200/1523-1/{ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67}IMG200.JPG
- type: image/jpeg
- cover150Wide:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-150/1523-1/{ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67}IMG150.JPG
- type: image/jpeg
- cover300Wide:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-400/1523-1/{ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67}IMG400.JPG
- type: image/jpeg
- cover:
- formats
- identifiers:
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780593490518
- name: Adobe EPUB eBook
- id: ebook-epub-adobe
- identifiers:
- identifiers:
- type: ASIN
- value: B0BF8PBQK9
- name: Kindle Book
- id: ebook-kindle
- identifiers:
- identifiers:
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780593490518
- name: OverDrive Read
- id: ebook-overdrive
- identifiers:
- otherFormatIdentifiers
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780593490501
- mediaType
- eBook
- primaryCreator
- role: Author
- name: Peter Turchin
- isOwnedByCollections
- True
- title
- End Times
- dateAdded
- 2023-12-09T04:49:00Z
- contentDetails
- href: https://link.overdrive.com?websiteID=114&titleID=9240794
- type: text/html
- account:
- name: Front Range Downloadable Library (CO)
- id: 1100
- sortTitle
- End Times Elites CounterElites and the Path of Political Disintegration
- crossRefId
- 9240794
- subtitle
- Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration
- id
- ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67
- starRating
- 3.8
OverDrive MetaData
- isPublicDomain
- False
- formats
- fileName: EndTimes_9780593490518_9240794
- partCount: 0
- fileSize: 1027591
- identifiers:
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780593490518
- rights:
- type: Copying
- value: 0
- type: Printing
- value: 0
- type: Lending
- value: 0
- type: ReadAloud
- value: 0
- type: ExpirationRights
- value: 0
- name: Adobe EPUB eBook
- isReadAlong: False
- id: ebook-epub-adobe
- onSaleDate: 6/13/2023
- samples:
- source: From the book
- formatType: ebook-overdrive
- url: https://samples.overdrive.com/?crid=ecae15a8-52db-4ea6-baf4-81d6c23f1f67&.epub-sample.overdrive.com
- fileName: EndTimes_9240794
- partCount: 0
- fileSize: 0
- identifiers:
- type: ASIN
- value: B0BF8PBQK9
- name: Kindle Book
- isReadAlong: False
- id: ebook-kindle
- onSaleDate: 6/13/2023
- samples:
- source: From the book
- formatType: ebook-overdrive
- url: https://samples.overdrive.com/?crid=ecae15a8-52db-4ea6-baf4-81d6c23f1f67&.epub-sample.overdrive.com
- fileName: EndTimes_9780593490518_9240794
- partCount: 0
- fileSize: 0
- identifiers:
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780593490518
- name: OverDrive Read
- isReadAlong: False
- id: ebook-overdrive
- onSaleDate: 6/13/2023
- samples:
- source: From the book
- formatType: ebook-overdrive
- url: https://samples.overdrive.com/?crid=ecae15a8-52db-4ea6-baf4-81d6c23f1f67&.epub-sample.overdrive.com
- keywords
- value: Political
- value: politics
- value: anthropology
- value: Political Ideologies
- value: Cultural Revolution
- value: Cultural anthropology
- value: Science
- value: capital
- value: homosapiens
- value: Geopolitics
- value: Evolution
- value: social engineering
- value: democracy
- value: elite
- value: human evolution
- value: political theory
- value: History
- value: government
- value: political philosophy
- value: Sociology
- value: social science
- value: political science
- value: world politics
- value: history books
- value: political books
- value: science books
- value: political book
- value: political nonfiction
- value: historical nonfiction
- value: books for dad
- value: dad books
- value: sociology books
- value: anthropology books
- value: political science books
- creators
- role: Author
- fileAs: Turchin, Peter
- name: Peter Turchin
- imprint
- Penguin Press
- publishDate
- 2023-06-13T00:00:00-04:00
- isOwnedByCollections
- True
- title
- End Times
- fullDescription
- “Peter Turchin brings science to history. Some like it and some prefer their history plain. But everyone needs to pay attention to the well-informed, convincing and terrifying analysis in this book.” —Angus Deaton, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics
From the pioneering co-founder of cliodynamics, the groundbreaking new interdisciplinary science of history, a big-picture explanation for America's civil strife and its possible endgames
Peter Turchin, one of the most interesting social scientists of our age, has infused the study of history with approaches and insights from other fields for more than a quarter century. End Times is the culmination of his work to understand what causes political communities to cohere and what causes them to fall apart, as applied to the current turmoil within the United States.
Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his models to predict that America was in a spiral of social disintegration that would lead to a breakdown in the political order circa 2020. The years since have proved his prediction more and more accurate, and End Times reveals why.
The lessons of world history are clear, Turchin argues: When the equilibrium between ruling elites and the majority tips too far in favor of elites, political instability is all but inevitable. As income inequality surges and prosperity flows disproportionately into the hands of the elites, the common people suffer, and society-wide efforts to become an elite grow ever more frenzied. He calls this process the wealth pump; it’s a world of the damned and the saved. And since the number of such positions remains relatively fixed, the overproduction of elites inevitably leads to frustrated elite aspirants, who harness popular resentment to turn against the established order. Turchin’s models show that when this state has been reached, societies become locked in a death spiral it's very hard to exit.
In America, the wealth pump has been operating full blast for two generations. As cliodynamics shows us, our current cycle of elite overproduction and popular immiseration is far along the path to violent political rupture. That is only one possible end time, and the choice is up to us, but the hour grows late. - popularity
- 2241
- links
- self:
- href: https://api.overdrive.com/v1/collections/v1L1BvwAAAA25/products/ecae15a8-52db-4ea6-baf4-81d6c23f1f67/metadata
- type: application/vnd.overdrive.api+json
- self:
- id
- ecae15a8-52db-4ea6-baf4-81d6c23f1f67
- starRating
- 3.8
- images
- cover:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-100/1523-1/{ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67}IMG100.JPG
- type: image/jpeg
- thumbnail:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-200/1523-1/{ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67}IMG200.JPG
- type: image/jpeg
- cover150Wide:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-150/1523-1/{ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67}IMG150.JPG
- type: image/jpeg
- cover300Wide:
- href: https://img1.od-cdn.com/ImageType-400/1523-1/{ECAE15A8-52DB-4EA6-BAF4-81D6C23F1F67}IMG400.JPG
- type: image/jpeg
- cover:
- isPublicPerformanceAllowed
- False
- languages
- code: en
- name: English
- subjects
- value: Politics
- value: Sociology
- value: Nonfiction
- publishDateText
- 06/13/2023
- otherFormatIdentifiers
- type: ISBN
- value: 9780593490501
- mediaType
- eBook
- shortDescription
- “Peter Turchin brings science to history. Some like it and some prefer their history plain. But everyone needs to pay attention to the well-informed, convincing and terrifying analysis in this book.” —Angus Deaton, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics
From the pioneering co-founder of cliodynamics, the groundbreaking new interdisciplinary science of history, a big-picture explanation for America's civil strife and its possible endgames
Peter Turchin, one of the most interesting social scientists of our age, has infused the study of history with approaches and insights from other fields for more than a quarter century. End Times is the culmination of his work to understand what causes political communities to cohere and what causes them to fall apart, as applied to the current turmoil within the United States.
Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his... - sortTitle
- End Times Elites CounterElites and the Path of Political Disintegration
- crossRefId
- 9240794
- subtitle
- Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration
- publisher
- Penguin Publishing Group
- bisacCodes
- code: POL007000
- description: Political Science / Political Ideologies / Democracy
- code: SOC002010
- description: Social Science / Anthropology / Cultural & Social
- code: SOC037000
- description: Social Science / Future Studies
